To check the forecast, here are a few reliable sources. Remember though, the lights are a natural phenomenon so changes may occur despite all the predictions!
Note: Remember, factors like fluctuating weather conditions, solar activity, and other variables play a significant role. So, be patient during your trip, as it may take several hours for the lights to appear—but rest assured, the wait will be well worth it.
Forecasts are more or less accurate up to 2 to 3 days. However, it is advisable to keep checking them closer to the day you’re setting out on a chase.
While you might enjoy setting out on your own, joining a guided tour will increase your chances of seeing the lights as the local guides know the best spots, away from the city’s light pollution.
The IMF is the best indicator of the Northern Lights and the Bz value tells you clearly about your chances of seeing the lights, even if the KP index is low.
The Northern Lights are said to show up every second day and that is also dependent on solar activity, minimal light pollution, and cloud cover. The more the solar activity, the more brighter representations you can expect.
This is the beginning of longer and darker nights which increase your window of seeing the Northern Lights, and this period lasts until February.